Labor is set to win government, an exclusive Nine YouGov Galaxy Exit Poll shows.

The ALP is leading with a four-point margin on a two-party preferred basis, 52-48, the poll reveals. This represents a swing away from the government of 2.4 per cent.

Such a result would give Labor as many as 80 seats in the House of Representatives, more than enough to take power in their own right. However, with some Labor-held seats still in the balance, they could well fall short of that number.

The Coalition is just ahead of Labor on the primary vote, 39 to 38 per cent.

In 2016, the Coalition led by a much wider 42.1-34.7 per cent.

The Greens are holding steady at 10 per cent, and Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party are registering at three per cent.

Ten per cent of voters are opting for another party or an independent, down from 13 per cent in 2016, the poll shows.

Pauline Hanson’s One Nation are polling at just two per cent.

The exit poll results are based on a survey of 3301 voters at 33 polling booths across the country.


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